A Reappraisal Of US Failure In Crisis Reliability In Indo-Pacific

In March 2021, the lead of the United States Indo-Pacific Command, Philip Davidson alerted the Senate Armed Service Committee of the greatest danger facing the United States in the Indo-Pacific, and that is the erosion of the U.S. conventional deterrence capabilities vis-à-vis China. Two major determinants of this transformation that the U.S. identified are: First, China’s credible investment in building the Peoples’ Liberation Army; and, second, the adoption of the U.S. precedents of joint warfare that primarily shift the Indo-Pacific military balance unfavorable for the U.S. allied military network and its order in the region. Moreover, a divulgence of the United States declination of any offensive action to China threat and a potential threat of China’s unilateral maneuver of the Indo-Pacific status-quo was made by the Indo-Pacific Command to the Biden Administration in a bid to reassure the Unite States monopoly over Indo-Pacific power and security dynamics amid ongoing U.S. – China strategic competition in the region.  An assessment of the strategic dynamics of the Indo-Pacific at this time signal another significant implication of this, at least, operational imbalance of conventional deterrence. That is, a strategic erosion of the United States’ strength is taking place; however, it is not only due to China’s increasing military hold over in region. Significantly, it is due to intensified indigenous medium power military networks being constructed in the Indo-Pacific security framework to implement an intra-regional integrated deterrence against the China threat. These medium power military networks foresee a security structure that is independent of the bilateral alliances with the U.S., thereby, opting for and consolidating a multipolar model of order in the Indo-Pacific.

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