Russia's influence is growing in Africa
Russia's influence is growing in Africa

Russia-Africa summit: Who stands to gain what?

The two-day event on July 27 and 28 follows Moscow's recent decision to withdraw from the Black Sea Grain Initiative, brokered by Turkey and the UN, which allowed war-torn Ukraine to safely export grain to the African continent from its Black Sea ports. 

However, Moscow's suspension of the deal has left African nations worried about the prospects of food shortages. What could be the potential developments at the summit?

African food security high on the agenda

Food security in African countries will be a key topic at the summit in St. Petersburg.

"The creation of logistics corridors and hubs not only for food and fertilisers, but also for any other products that the Russian Federation produces — this will be one of the topics of discussion," Oleg Ozerov, ambassador at large at the Russian Foreign Ministry, told Russian state agency RIA on Tuesday.

Last week, Moscow announced its decision to withdraw from the grain deal, saying that "instead of helping countries in real need, the West used the grain deal for political blackmail." The next day Russian missiles were launched on the Ukrainian port of Odesa, where the grain was being stored.

While most African leaders refrained from commenting ahead of the summit, some  African countries voiced their anger. Korir Sing'Oei, Kenya's top official in the Foreign Ministry, described Moscow's move as a "stab in the back."

On Tuesday, the Kremlin said that 17 heads of states had confirmed their participation, down from the 45 that took part in the summit in Sochi in 2019. Moscow complained about the Western pressure on African leaders to persuade them to ignore the summit.

There's widespread belief that the Kremlin will use the summit to announce a possible restoration of grain supplies, to appear as "the savior" of the deal. On Monday, Russian President Vladimir Putin suggested that Moscow would be able to deliver the grain and fertilizers "on a commercial & free-of-charge basis," bypassing Ukraine.

However, Alexei Tselunov, an expert on African affairs, warns that such a move would not provide long-term stability over food prices.

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