India’s growing consumer market is a golden opportunity for the investors. Photo: Bloomberg
India’s growing consumer market is a golden opportunity for the investors. Photo: Bloomberg

China or India: How to Invest in the Coming Asia Boom

Money managers are navigating an historic shift: India's ­population, at 1.43 billion, edged past China's this year.

Now the world's most populous country, India could experience a decades-long investment boom. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. analysts expect its share of global equity market capitalisation to quadruple between now and 2075—reaching 12%, when it will be neck and neck with China's. Over that same period, the US share is projected to drop by half, to 22%.

India and China both offer investors the chance to profit from rising powers' economic growth. China is the world's ­second-largest economy, featuring a massive consumer market and advanced manufacturing. India has friendlier relations with the West and a young workforce. Its economy is expected to grow 6% to 7% a year, outpacing China's. Its budding middle class will be spending well beyond essentials.

Conrad Saldanha, a portfolio manager focusing on ­emerging-markets equity at Neuberger Berman, says India will benefit as companies look for manufacturing alternatives to China. "India is probably singularly one of the best structural growth stories globally," he says. For Sukumar Rajah, a director of portfolio management at Franklin Templeton, India's increased consumer spending, including on premium products, will open up new investment opportunities.

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