As temperatures rise, parts of Europe are experiencing droughts with higher and higher frequency and intensityImage: PAU BARRENA/AFP/Getty Images
As temperatures rise, parts of Europe are experiencing droughts with higher and higher frequency and intensityImage: PAU BARRENA/AFP/Getty Images

What will EU elections mean for tackling climate change?

The EU has billed its climate policies as trailblazing. But experts say a rightward shift after the European Parliament elections in June could see the bloc backpedal on its green ambitions.

Convoys of tractors clogging the streets of European capitals, burning tires, and even manure slinging: Recent farmers' demonstrations against a law that would restore European nature have become a potent symbol of an apparent backlash against the European Union's (EU's) climate policies.

Ahead of the June European parliamentary elections, EU lawmakers watered down the Nature Restoration Law under pressure from protestors and the rise of populist and right-wing voices. The law aims to rehabilitate 20% of European nature by 2030 but restoration targets for agricultural land and peatland were ultimately diluted.

A key tenet of the EU Green Deal — a policy package aimed at cleaning up the bloc's entire economy from energy and transport to agriculture in a bid to become CO2 neutral by 2050 — the Nature Restoration Law could well be rejected at the final legislative hurdle, with some countries saying they will either abstain or vote against it.

It's a far cry from the 2019 European elections, when hundreds of thousands of young people took to the streets to demand more climate action. Not long after, EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyenunveiled the ambitious Green Deal, calling it "Europe's man on the moon moment."  

EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen originally called the European Green Deal the bloc's 'man on the moon moment'Image: Yves Herman/REUTERS

Since then, the bloc has signed off on a raft of legislation to reduce planet heating greenhouse gas emissions, including a ban on the sale of new fossil fuel cars starting 2035 and carbon market reforms.

Those policies are unlikely to be withdrawn. But the new mood music raises questions about the future of the EU's wider environmental agenda after the election. Even as the continent experiences record heat, drought and flooding and surveys show most Europeans are in favor of doing more to tackle climate change, analysts warn more parties are using climate policy as a political scapegoat, blaming it for higher energy prices and rising living costs.

"We know that those arguments are usually used to polarize to the maximum extent before the European election and therefore to attract some voters," said Neil Makaroff, a political analyst from Brussels-based thinktank Strategic Perspectives.  

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